Hergiswil vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 3
HER
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 1
ASC
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
5 - 4
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
TAV
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
RUS
2 - 5
HER
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
LOC
4 - 1
BEL
12%
19%
70%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
5 - 1
HOC
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 19 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TEA
0 - 1
BEL
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
CAS
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 23 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 4
BEL
6%
13%
80%
|
67 | 19 | 48 | 0 |