Herfølge BK vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herfølge BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FCK
2 - 0
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HER
1 - 4
BIF
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SIF
2 - 4
HER
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AGF
2 - 0
HER
58%
22%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
MID
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
BIF
2 - 0
RAN
71%
18%
10%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
3 - 0
RAN
46%
23%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RAN
4 - 3
SIF
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
AAB
3 - 0
RAN
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VFF
0 - 1
RAN
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |