Hereti Tchabukiani vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereti Tchabukiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ALA
6 - 0
HER
85%
10%
4%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HER
0 - 1
ACH
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 4
SKO
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
PAR
72%
16%
13%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
ABU
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ADU
3 - 0
MET
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
TSK
1 - 3
ADU
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
IVE
2 - 4
ADU
29%
24%
47%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
ADU
5 - 2
STU
67%
18%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
RVA
3 - 0
ADU
56%
22%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |