Herentals vs Arenel Movers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herentals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 1
HEC
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BMF
0 - 1
HEC
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
HEC
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HEC
1 - 2
NGP
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CPF
1 - 1
HEC
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Arenel Movers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
CHI
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NGP
1 - 0
ARM
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CPF
1 - 0
ARM
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 2
TFC
15%
19%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 0
ARM
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |