Hereford United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
MAC
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DAR
2 - 0
HER
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LUT
7 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
WOK
3 - 0
HER
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
KID
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
LUT
5 - 0
WRE
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WRE
0 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
WRE
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
WRE
1 - 2
DAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |