Hereford United vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HER
1 - 3
SOU
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 1
HER
55%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
OXF
25%
29%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
ROT
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 1
STE
18%
25%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STE
0 - 0
GUL
52%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
STE
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
STE
1 - 1
CRE
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2010 |
STE
0 - 1
BRE
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |