Hereford United vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STF
2 - 2
COL
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STF
1 - 3
YEO
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OPA
3 - 1
STF
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
STF
1 - 0
WAL
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
STF
1 - 2
CRE
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |