Hereford United vs Shrewsbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
0 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CHE
26%
28%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
WYC
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 0
HER
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
STA
4 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
STF
2 - 0
STO
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 0
STF
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
STF
4 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
STF
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
STF
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |