Hereford United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
LEI
2 - 1
HER
67%
22%
12%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
TRA
34%
30%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HUR
2 - 0
HER
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
HAR
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2009 |
OLD
2 - 1
HAR
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
HUR
1 - 1
OLD
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
OLD
0 - 0
CUM
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 3
OLD
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEY
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |