EFL Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
Hereford United vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.4%
80.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
18%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
NTT
2 - 1
HER
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
WBA
0 - 1
HER
73%
16%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1994 |
HER
0 - 0
WBA
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1994 |
DON
1 - 0
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
HER
2 - 2
GUL
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
NTT
3 - 2
QPR
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
TOT
1 - 4
NTT
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
NTT
2 - 1
HER
90%
8%
2%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
SOU
1 - 1
NTT
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
NTT
4 - 1
SHW
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |