Hereford United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
PLY
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
CRE
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 1
NOR
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 3
BRA
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
NOR
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
OXF
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
NOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |