Hereford United vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
DAG
2 - 1
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HER
3 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
DAG
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
POS
2 - 0
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
MIL
1 - 0
HER
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 5
LEE
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
OLD
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
3 - 1
NOR
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LEI
0 - 0
NOR
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |