Hereford United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
WYC
0 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
LIN
3 - 4
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
ALD
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
GUL
24%
26%
49%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
STE
2 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
GUL
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
STF
1 - 3
MOR
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
STO
0 - 2
MOR
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |