Hereford United vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
LIN
3 - 1
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
MAC
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
NOT
5 - 0
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
NOR
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
GRI
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 0
MOR
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
POR
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
BCF
0 - 0
MOR
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
2 - 0
MOR
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |