EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-10
Hereford United vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
HER
3 - 0
ROC
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
MID
7 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
DAR
1 - 0
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
SWA
4 - 0
HER
33%
29%
39%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
HER
0 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
MID
7 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 2
MID
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
MID
4 - 0
COV
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
MID
4 - 1
WHU
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |