Hereford United vs Macclesfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
LIN
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 3
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SHW
4 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
MOR
35%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
STO
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 4
BCF
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
ROT
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
BCF
2 - 2
MAC
58%
24%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |