Hereford United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
STF
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
HER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
BRA
43%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
NUN
0 - 0
HER
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
STO
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUT
1 - 1
NUN
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
LUT
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
NUN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 3
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 2
LUT
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |