Hereford United vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
HER
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BCF
1 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
CRE
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
GUL
1 - 0
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
HER
1 - 4
MKD
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 1
BRA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
LIN
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
BOL
4 - 0
LIN
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
2 - 1
CHE
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |