FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-0
Hereford United vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
HER
2 - 1
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
HER
5 - 1
DAR
41%
29%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
POS
1 - 1
HER
53%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
MKD
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
HER
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 3
LEE
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CUM
3 - 1
LEE
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LEE
4 - 2
MIL
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BHA
0 - 1
LEE
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LEE
1 - 1
LEY
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |