Hereford United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
MKD
3 - 0
HER
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HER
0 - 2
NOR
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
DAG
2 - 1
HER
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HER
3 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 0
YEO
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
FLE
2 - 3
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 1
BRO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
LEE
4 - 1
HAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 1
BHA
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |