Hereford United vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
46.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
HYD
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 2
LUT
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
NUN
0 - 1
GRI
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRI
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
3 - 1
WRE
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
GRI
1 - 1
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |