Hereford United vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 2
WOK
27%
25%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
GRI
26%
28%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
WRE
2 - 0
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAT
5 - 0
TAM
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
GAT
1 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 2
GAT
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GAT
3 - 1
LIN
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 0
GAT
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |