Hereford United vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
HER
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CHE
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ROT
1 - 1
HER
63%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
ALD
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
DAG
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
DAR
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
DAR
2 - 1
STF
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
DAG
2 - 0
DAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
DAR
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |