Hereford United vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 5
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
ALD
1 - 2
HER
32%
24%
45%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
HAL
1 - 2
HER
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
HER
2 - 1
STF
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
SCA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2004 |
STF
0 - 0
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
3 - 2
EXE
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2004 |
CHE
4 - 2
ALD
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
STA
0 - 2
CHE
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |