Hereford United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HER
0 - 1
MKD
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
HER
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
YEO
2 - 2
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 2
SOU
27%
24%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
CHE
2 - 1
GRI
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SOU
2 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
SCU
3 - 0
CHE
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
CUM
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |