Hereford United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BHA
0 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
OLD
4 - 0
HER
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HER
1 - 2
SWI
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
WAL
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 0
HER
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CUM
3 - 3
POS
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MKD
3 - 1
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
ROC
2 - 2
CUM
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 2
TRA
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 1
CUM
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |