Hereford United vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 1
HER
65%
20%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
KID
0 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
KID
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
CHM
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
CHE
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
SOU
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 2
WRE
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
STO
2 - 2
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
WRE
4 - 1
AFC
71%
19%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
KIN
3 - 1
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |