Hereford United vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 1
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HER
2 - 0
STA
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 0
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 2
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
HER
0 - 0
BRO
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
1 - 0
BUR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 2
BOU
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
3 - 1
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GUL
1 - 2
BOU
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 1
YEO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |