Hereford United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PLY
1 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
ROT
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
HER
2 - 3
BUR
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STA
3 - 1
GUL
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
STA
56%
23%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STA
3 - 0
DAG
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |