Hereford United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
3 - 4
HER
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
POR
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
HER
0 - 3
EXE
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
HER
1 - 4
STE
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
STA
2 - 3
ROT
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BCF
3 - 0
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STA
7 - 4
GIL
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
STO
2 - 2
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
STA
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |