Hereford vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 0
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 3
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
KID
3 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
FYL
0 - 2
YOR
52%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 0
GUI
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 1
AFC
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 2
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 4
YOR
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |