Hereford vs St Ives Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HER
5 - 0
HIT
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
HER
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
POT
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
AFC
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
DUN
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
St Ives Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STI
2 - 2
FRO
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
STI
2 - 1
DUN
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
RFC
6 - 0
STI
67%
20%
14%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
BIG
0 - 2
STI
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
STI
1 - 2
WEY
10%
18%
72%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | -1 |