Hereford vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SOU
0 - 1
HER
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HER
3 - 2
BRA
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 2
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
SOU
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SPE
2 - 2
BOS
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SOU
1 - 4
SPE
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
4 - 1
SPE
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
CHE
1 - 0
SPE
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPE
7 - 0
RUS
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |