Hereford vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 0
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 3
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
KID
3 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
BOS
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 3
BLY
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
CUR
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 3
SOU
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
5 - 0
SOU
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -3 |