Hereford vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
HER
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
CUR
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 0
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
KID
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 3
BRA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GLO
0 - 1
SOU
30%
26%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 3
BOS
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FYL
4 - 1
SOU
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
YOR
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |