Hereford vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
KID
2 - 1
HER
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
HER
2 - 0
CHE
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
KID
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NUN
2 - 4
CUR
34%
25%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
SOU
1 - 1
NUN
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
NUN
1 - 2
AFC
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 1
NUN
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 1
NUN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |