Hereford vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
KID
1 - 1
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 1
KID
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAN
0 - 1
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
KET
0 - 3
LEA
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
LEA
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
GLO
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 0
LEA
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |