Hereford vs Gloucester City analysis

Hereford Gloucester City
42 ELO 43
-6.9% Tilt -13.1%
4078º General ELO ranking 5009º
164º Country ELO ranking 234º
ELO win probability
47.2%
Hereford
25.1%
Draw
27.8%
Gloucester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
Hereford
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.8%
Win probability
Gloucester City
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hereford
-8%
-3%
Gloucester City

Points and table prediction

Hereford
Their league position
Gloucester City
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
20º
15º
66
22º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fylde
93
93
100%
Kings Lynn Town
91
91
100%
Chester
81
84
100%
Alfreton Town
69
69
0%
Brackley Town
69
69
26.5%
Scarborough Athletic
68
68
52.5%
Chorley
67
67
0%
Buxton
67
67
0%
Kidderminster Harriers
11º
66
67
100%
Gloucester City
66
66
10º
100%
Curzon Ashton
10º
66
66
11º
0%
Spennymoor Town
12º
66
66
12º
0%
Darlington FC
13º
64
65
13º
100%
Peterborough Sports
14º
57
58
14º
100%
Hereford
15º
55
56
15º
100%
Boston United
16º
54
54
16º
100%
Banbury United
17º
54
54
17º
100%
Southport
18º
51
51
18º
100%
Farsley Celtic
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Kettering Town
20º
49
50
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
47
48
21º
100%
Bradford Park Avenue
22º
47
47
22º
100%
Leamington
23º
46
46
23º
100%
AFC Telford United
24º
33
33
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hereford
Gloucester City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hereford
Gloucester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hereford
Hereford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
BAN
Banbury United
3 - 1
Hereford
HER
68%
20%
12%
44 53 9 0
20 Aug. 2022
HER
Hereford
2 - 0
Buxton
BUX
31%
26%
44%
42 47 5 +2
16 Aug. 2022
CHE
Chester
0 - 1
Hereford
HER
59%
22%
19%
41 43 2 +1
13 Aug. 2022
SCA
Scarborough Athletic
1 - 0
Hereford
HER
55%
24%
21%
42 45 3 -1
06 Aug. 2022
HER
Hereford
3 - 3
Spennymoor Town
SPE
38%
26%
37%
42 43 1 0

Matches

Gloucester City
Gloucester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
GLO
Gloucester City
0 - 1
Brackley Town
BRA
29%
27%
45%
42 50 8 0
20 Aug. 2022
BLY
Blyth Spartans
2 - 0
Gloucester City
GLO
22%
23%
55%
44 33 11 -2
16 Aug. 2022
GLO
Gloucester City
3 - 1
Peterborough Sports
PET
24%
23%
54%
42 49 7 +2
13 Aug. 2022
GLO
Gloucester City
2 - 0
Boston United
BOS
31%
26%
43%
40 46 6 +2
06 Aug. 2022
DAR
Darlington FC
3 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
42%
25%
32%
42 41 1 -2