Hereford vs Farsley Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
HAU
1 - 0
HER
15%
19%
67%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
BAT
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
HAU
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
STF
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HER
1 - 3
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Farsley Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 2
FAR
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
FAR
0 - 0
HAL
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 4
FAR
11%
15%
75%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
3 - 2
FAR
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
DAR
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |