Hereford vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LEA
0 - 0
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
YOR
25%
26%
49%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
SOU
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
CUR
3 - 0
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 3
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 1
DAR
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
DAR
1 - 0
BLY
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DAR
3 - 0
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
FYL
1 - 2
DAR
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 2
DAR
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |