Hereford vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HER
1 - 1
BRA
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 0
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
KID
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
KID
3 - 1
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
4 - 0
FAR
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BLY
2 - 1
CUR
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 0
CUR
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALF
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 1
CUR
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |