Hereford vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 0
HER
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ALF
3 - 3
HER
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
SOL
22%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
MER
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHO
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
FAR
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 1
KID
49%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 1
DAR
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |