Hereford vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GAT
2 - 0
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
KID
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
HER
1 - 2
LEA
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
KID
3 - 1
HER
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
GUI
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
BOS
20%
23%
58%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
YOR
2 - 1
BRA
78%
15%
6%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
FAR
5 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 2
YOR
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SPE
3 - 0
BRA
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |