Hereford vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
ALF
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
UNM
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
UNM
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
BAT
1 - 2
BIL
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
EAS
0 - 2
BIL
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BIL
2 - 3
OXF
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
HAM
0 - 1
BIL
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
BIL
1 - 3
CHE
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |