Hereford vs Ashton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
YOR
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
HER
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
LEA
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 5
CHO
28%
25%
48%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
ASH
43%
23%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ASH
2 - 2
DAR
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 2
ASH
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ASH
1 - 5
BRA
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |