Hereford vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
UNM
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 2
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
UNM
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
ALT
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
FAR
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 2
LEA
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 1
NUN
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 4
FLE
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ALF
1 - 1
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |