Hereford vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
KIN
3 - 1
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 2
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
SPE
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
HER
2 - 2
CHE
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
YEO
2 - 1
HER
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
GAT
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 0
KID
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
KET
2 - 1
AFC
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
COV
15%
21%
65%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
SOL
21%
23%
57%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |