Hereford vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
WOK
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
ALD
1 - 1
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
LEA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 2
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 3
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
HOR
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HOR
5 - 4
MAI
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
KIN
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DUL
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |