Apertura Costa Rica Semi-finals
Global 3-4
CS Herediano vs Puntarenas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
PFC
3 - 1
CSH
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CSH
2 - 1
PFC
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BFC
1 - 2
CSH
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
CSH
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
CSH
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Puntarenas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
PFC
3 - 1
CSH
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CSC
1 - 1
PFC
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
PFC
2 - 1
CSC
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CSH
2 - 1
PFC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 0
PFC
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |