CS Herediano vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
5º
1º
8
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 39 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 37 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 36 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 35 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 30 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 28 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 28 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 28 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 26 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 25 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 14 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
80% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Herediano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PFC
1 - 1
CSH
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
LDA
2 - 1
CSH
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 0
LDA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
SAP
2 - 0
CSH
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
CSH
3 - 0
SAP
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
MUN
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
LDA
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
PFC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CSH
2 - 1
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |